Democrats' midterm advantage narrows in new poll - KVOA | KVOA.com | Tucson, Arizona

Showdown in November Fearsome Blue Wave or Flaccid Democrat Failure

"That's what makes this plan a particularly tough sell for Republican House candidates here". Measures of partisan enthusiasm paint a more mixed picture of the electorate in comparison to signs of Democratic intensity displayed in many recent special elections. More than 4 in 10 registered voters say it is extremely important that candidates share their views on gun issues. So, in an astonishing flip, Klarman, at one point New England's most generous donor to Republicans, is taking his money elsewhere: He's heaping cash on Democrats.

President Trump is dragging down New Jersey Republicans, according to the poll. Another possible reason why Republicans are bridging the gap is the slight improvement in President Donald Trump's approval ratings.

Further, among Republican likely voters, 95 percent say they would vote for their party's candidate, which is up from 89 percent in January and now matches the level among Democrats, 95 percent.

The situation in the districts where control of the House is likely to be decided is slightly more favorable for Democrats.

If the result holds in November, it could spell trouble for the five Republican representatives in the state. Democrats need a net gain of 23 seats to capture the majority. Exactly the CNN poll had showed a Democratic advantage in February.

The Post-ABC poll finds parity in stated voting intentions.

The new poll found that 27% of respondents thought the law was a good idea, while 36% thought it was a bad idea.

A March 2-9 CNN poll found the generic congressional ballot had tightened to some 6-point lead for Democrats. What a renewing change that would be: a government where both parties work together for the benefit of all.


Some core constituencies for each party expressed tepid interest in turning out to vote in an off-year election, when many eligible voters typically stay home. In December, 35% said Democrats would be best, while 30% said Republicans. The share of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents who report being registered to vote has slipped from 84 percent in November to 79 percent in January and 75 percent now. Democrats are counting on strong turnout among women to help their candidates in November.

Seventy-eight percent of Americans and registered voters alike say it's important to them to support a candidate who shares their opinion on gun policy, including four in 10 who say it's "extremely" important. Almost 47 percent of people who want regulations on guns support Democrats, whereas 46 percent of those who prioritize gun rights over regulations prefer Republicans.

A smaller 31 percent say it is "extremely important" for congressional candidates to share their views aboutTrump, although more than half say this will be at least "very important".

Overall, 47 percent of registered voters told WaPo they prefer Democratic candidates in their district, while 43 percent favor the GOP.

Boston-area billionaire hedge fund manager Seth Klarman will now start funding mostly Democrats after a history of giving large donations to Republicans.

The 19-percentage-point gap in favor of Democrats in New Jersey is significantly wider than the generic House vote edge of nine points in a national poll last month. Frank LoBiondo, R-2nd Dist., and Rodney Frelinghuysen, R-11th Dist., have announced their retirements, and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has targeted their districts and the three remaining House Republicans. Among Republicans, she is well-known and widely disliked, with 74 percent holding unfavorable views of her, 63 percent strongly.

The Post-ABC poll reached 1,002 adults from April 8-11.

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