Normal monsoon across country likely

Meteorology Department warns of thunder rain and strong wind

Puneites are likely to get some respite from the heat with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicting thunderstorm with rain at isolated locations in the city in the coming 24 hours. Unlike the IMD, Skymet had predicted a 100 per cent normal Monsoon, with an error estimate of plus-minus 5 per cent.

The southwest monsoon, the lifeline for millions of farmers across India, is expected to be normal in 2018, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Tuesday. The forecast also suggests maximum probability for normal monsoon rainfall (96-104% of LPA) and low probability for deficient rainfall during the season. In 2016, good monsoon has led to record production of oilseeds, food grains and also triggered a 4.2 per cent agriculture growth.

The IMD, however, will forecast the onset of monsoon in middle of next month.


As the extreme sea surface temperature conditions over the Pacific and Indian Oceans particularly ENSO conditions over the Pacific (El Nino or La Nina) are known to have strong influence on the Indian summer monsoon, IMD is carefully monitoring the sea surface conditions over the Pacific and Indian oceans. A normal monsoon is in the range of 96-104 percent of the LPA. India receives 70% of its annual rainfall in the four-month period, which in turn irrigates over half of its farm lands lacking assured irrigation.

The IMD will issue the update in early June, as a part of the second stage forecast.

According to the weatherman, below 90 per cent rainfall is considered deficient and at 95 per cent it is considered below normal.

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