Tropical Storm Patty Could Form By End of This Week

USVI In Path Of New Weather System; Tropical Cyclone Development Possible By Midweek -

In an update posted Monday morning, the NHC said that the system was about 200 miles east of the Leeward Islands and was heading west to west north-west, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and the southern Bahamas. The system has ramped up in intensity and is now given a 90 percent chance of becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone by Thursday.

"Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased and become a little more concentrated this morning, and environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression or a tropical storm during the next day or so", the Hurricane Center explained. Should a tropical storm form, it would get the name "Patty". The latest in the season on record was Hurricane Kate in 1985, which became a Category 3 storm November 20 before hitting the Florida Panhandle, according to the Weather Underground archive.

The Virgin Islands Territorial Emergency Management Agency said in a release today that it's monitoring the system.

"Your chances, in the USA, of getting a land-falling hurricane in November are only about 1 percent", Knabb said during the network's tropical weather segment.


Late-season storms can be some of the most destructive.

- The end of hurricane season is quickly approaching, but it looks like we'll probably end up adding one more named storm to the tally for the 2018 season.

Alberto formed before the season's official beginning on June 1, making it the fourth year in a row with a storm before the season's official start on June 1.

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